丹麦风电的未来

丹麦是世界风电行业的领跑者。介绍了丹麦大力发展风电的驱动力,描述了风电发展给电力行业以及人民生活带来的影响,阐述了风电的社会经济效益。详细论述了丹麦通过负荷经济调度、电力进出口以及上下调制电能产量从而实现了电力消费的20％来自于风能。为实现欧盟的“20—20-20”目标,电网基础设施建设、灵活的生产与消费以及智能电网方案将为可再生能源尤其是风电的发展提供坚强的平台。负荷经济调度在新的方案下是实现社会经济效益最大化的有效措施。     

大型物流仓储类建筑防火安全设计方法探析

随着中国物流产业的蓬勃发展,越来越多大型物流仓储中心出现,但是随之而来的一些消防问题也摆在眼前,如防火分区面积过大、疏散问题、消防设施布置等。运用了性能化防火设计评估的方法对类似建筑进行分析模拟,并提出相关优化方案是一个比较可行的解决办法,通过该方法能够提高建筑安全性,增加设施的可靠性。     

广东省经济开放对TFP增长率的影响——基于三重开放视角的实证分析

文章从省域经济的三重开放角度出发,以广东省1992年至2009年数据为例,构建了经济综合开放度评价指标体系,并运用熵值法计算各指标权重从而计算出历年各经济开放度。再建立VAR模型,运用脉冲响应函数研究了三重经济开放对广东省TFP增长率的影响。结果发现,国际开放度对TFP增长率的促进作用具有一定的时滞性;省际开放度对TFP增长率产生了较大的正向冲击效应,但持续时间较短;而省内开放度对TFP增长率的冲击产生先负后正的效应,持续时间较长。     

我国房地产价格影响因素及其作用效应的计量检验

目前,房地产价格的过快增长已经成为影响民生的突出问题,房地产价格的增长远远超过了居民消费和收入水平的增长。我国政府已经将遏制部分城市房价过快上涨势头、满足人民群众的基本住房需求、促进房地产市场平稳健康发展作为房地产市场的宏观调控目标。因此对房地产价格的影响因素进行实证研究,可以为我国宏观政策的制定与实施提供经验证据。     

基于AHP法的人民银行应急能力评估研究——以济南分行为例

应急评估是当前应急管理理论和实践中的热点和难点问题。本文针对人民银行应急评估工作现状和存在问题、总结国内外有关应急评估经验,以层次分析法(AHP)为基本方法,构建了以应急能力为核心指标的人民银行应急评估量化模型,并通过评估案例实证检验和分析了该模型的可行性和有效性。     

Local interests or centralized targets? How China’s local government implements the farmland policy of Requisition–Compensation Balance

The Requisition–Compensation Balance of Farmland (RCBF) is a strict policy in China aimed at controlling farmland conversion and replenishing farmland loss caused by urban expansion through a set of top-down quotas. These conflict with local interests, since land conversion from agriculture to construction is a key tool by which local governments attract investment and raise fiscal revenue. How should local authorities respond to this centralized policy? This paper presents a framework “quantity–quality–productivity–environment” to investigate local governments’ coping strategy and the holistic performance of the RCBF. The empirical study indicated that local jurisdictions placed economic and financial growth first and continued expropriating farmland on a large-scale, including land of high quality, for development. However, impelled by compulsory quotas and supervision from governments at higher levels, local authorities would partly replenish the quantity loss through farmland exploitation, regardless of the quality of the new cropland and the possible environmental impact. Consequently, fast requisition and unqualified compensation undermined the capacity of regional agricultural output. We suggest that the RCBF is not capable of guaranteeing food security, whilst farmland supplementation threatens the local environment.     

Local Venturing as Compassion Organizing in the Aftermath of a Natural Disaster: The Role of Localness and Community in Reducing Suffering

In contrast to models of compassion within existing organizations, this grounded theory study examines how ventures emerge relying on localness and community in direct response to ‘opportunities’ to alleviate suffering in the aftermath of a natural disaster. While a natural disaster is a surprising disruptive event devastating a local community, that local community is nested within a broader community, which can be a source of abundant resources. Ventures created in the aftermath of a natural disaster, given local knowledge and unencumbered by pre‐existing systems, procedures, and capabilities, are highly effective at connecting the broader community with the local community through customizing resources to meet victims' needs and to quickly delivering these resources to alleviate suffering.     

Exploring the impact of R&D and climate change on agricultural productivity growth: the case of Western Australia*

This article empirically examines the impact of R&D and climate change on the Western Australian Agricultural sector using standard time series econometrics. Based on historical data for the period of 1977–2005, the empirical results show that both R&D and climate change matter for long‐run productivity growth. The long‐run elasticity of total factor productivity (TFP) with respect to R&D expenditure is 0.497, while that of climate change is 0.506. There is a unidirectional causality running from R&D expenditure to TFP growth in both the short run and long run. Further, the variance decomposition and impulse response function confirm that a significant portion of output and productivity growth beyond the sample period is explained by R&D expenditure. These results justify the increase in R&D investment in the deteriorating climatic condition in the agricultural sector to improve the long‐run prospects of productivity growth.     

Understanding Equity in the Recreation User Fee Context

Equity is a major public concern related to recreation fees on public lands. The purpose of this study was to test a three-dimensional model of equity and to examine the perceptions of equity across demographic segments. Data were collected by a telephone survey with residents (N = 366) of two western states. Confirmatory factor analysis supported the three-dimensional equity model in a recreation fee context. People tended to support democratic equity more than compensatory equity. Greater support was shown for discounted fees for the elderly and persons with disabilities than for discounts for ethnic minorities, low income people, or large families, suggesting the possibility of two sub-dimensions of the compensatory equity construct. Overall, the results do not support that disadvantaged groups seek discounted fees.     

AMBITIONS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR ASSESSING MILITARY PERFORMANCE IN CRISIS RESPONSE OPERATIONS

This paper addresses the issue of measuring armed forces’ performance in crisis response operations. By means of interviews (17 respondents) and a large scale survey (1,253 respondents) field and general officers of the Netherlands Armed Forces (NAF) have been questioned on perceived organisational success in crisis response operations. The Dutch officers assess the NAF's performance positively. A number of senior officers are hesitant about the usefulness of measuring the performance of crisis response operations. According to them the context in which the operations are being executed is too complex. Most interviewees, however, are convinced that measuring performance is useful and should be improved. These military leaders express a strong need for criteria to assess their performance on the job.